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Showing posts from June, 2017

Electoral farce in Brazzaville

The Congo Republic, independent since 1960, is a rich country, thanks to its oil. The country has the largest net export balance in the world (47%). But this oil wealth benefits a very small number. The president, Denis SassouNguesso, and his family, have made a fortune and do not intend to share their wealth with opponents.The Internet crash, opportunely depriving opponents of access to social networks at the time of legislative elections, is very suspicious. President Denis SassouNguesso is, quite simply, cutting off the country from the rest of the world, with the implicit agreement of the IMF, to "arrange" the results without embarrassing witnesses.

The so-called "referendum", tinkered in 2015, canceled the constitutional limit of presidential mandates.SassouNguesso was able to represent himself, and win, the last presidential elections of March 2016. This rather coarse maneuver triggered a new series of massive demonstrations in the country. In reaction, the ma…

Putin, the new Tsar of Russia

If we want to understand Putin geopolitical vision, we must remember where the man comes from and what is the history of his country. During the Second World War, Vladimir Putin's father belongs to a NKVD (Soviet secret police) sabotage commando. On the Leningrad front, their mission is to blow up bridges and railway lines behind German lines. From 28 initial members, only four survive, including the father of Vladimir Putin, who remains crippled. While the father is still at hospital, Vladimir Putin's mother becomes very seriously ill. In the atmosphere of the time, she is thrown, half dead, on a pile of dead bodies. The father, just popped out of the hospital, saves her life, in extremis.

Vladimir Putin said he got the idea of working for the KGB by watching movies, such as the cult Spy series  "17 moments of spring", famous at that time in the USSR. He followed the classical path, which excluded moods: KGB instruction  (Andropov Institute of Moscow), political opp…

Capital is Cuba's last hope

In 1959, in Cuba, when Fidel Castro overthrew the Fulgencio Batista mafia government, he was coming from a nationalist, even anti-communist background ("orthodox" party). His first wife was the sister of Batista's Minister of the Interior. The CIA and the underworld of Miami, who supported Batista dictatorship, tried to destroy him, he had to seek the support of the Soviets, if he didn't want to be overthrown and finally hanged. It is at this time that Castro built the myth of the revolutionary leftist. He nationalized American companies in Cuba, taxed US imports. Washington imposed, under the presidency of John F. Kennedy, a complete economic embargo to Cuba. In 1961, the CIA mounted the Bay of Pigs operation to drive Castro out of power. The mask fell, democracy meant nothing few miles from the coast of Florida ...
The (planned ?) failure of this agression definitely pushed the Cubans in the arms of Moscow, crystallized the Cold War. The Soviet Union secretly insta…

The so-called weaknesses of China ...

China will be the dominant power within thirty years, except accidents beyond its control. In some institutions, many scenarios are being worked on to counteract the seemingly irresistible rise of Beijing. These scenarios can be achieved, but they have nothing to do with China's so-called weaknesses...

The mainstream analysts talk about the poverty of the Chinese countryside, which would jeopardize the future development of the country. When China's economy opened up, in 1978, under Deng Xiaoping government, emphasis was placed on the coastal zone, where the Special Economic Zones were based. The result today is the large income disparities between the coastal provinces and the much poorer interior of the country. Let's not forget that in China the majority of the population has always lived in the eastern part and that the urbanization trend of these coastal provinces should continue. By its only demographics, the coastal area of ​​China will always be at the heart of the…

Pakistani Djihad vs Prosperity in India

India is a gentle giant. Its only ambition is to become a great peaceful economic power, leaving China, Russia and the United States to compete for dominant superpower status. By being the friend of everybody, the Indian economy hopes to thrive in peace. It works rather well, investments are coming in. But India has a jealous neighbor, muslim Pakistan, who is trying to destabilize the border regions of India.

A muslim province in Hindu land, Kashmir has been, since the partition of 1947, a zone of conflict between India and Pakistan. Kashmir has become, over the years, by its proximity to Afghanistan, a powder magazine conducive to the installation of a radical jihad. It is a front line of an islamist terrorism little known in the West.
The Indian army killed five rebels in Kashmir on Friday (June 9th). Defense spokesman in Srinagar, Colonel RajeshKalia, said the Pakistani army was helping the rebels cross the border to cause disruptions in Jammu and Kashmir, covering them with heavy ar…

American checkmate in Macedonia

Macedonia has a hard time living. Already in 1991, at the independence of the country, a former Yugoslav entity, Greece was opposed to Skopje international recognition, because of the very name of Macedonia. Athens rightly claimed that it already possessed a northern region, called Macedonia, inheritor of the Hellenic history of the kingdom of Alexander the Great. No doubt Athens also feared the emergence of a future state, bringing together the Macedonians of Greece, Serbia, Albania and Bulgaria.

Cohabitation between the Slavs, who make up three-quarters of the Macedonian population today, and the Albanian Muslim minority has been appeased since the very violent fighting between government forces and the Albanian rebellion (the UCK-M) in 2001. The Ohrid peace accords signed on 8 August 2001, which give some political and cultural recognition to the Albanians, have brought peace.

Former Prime Minister Nikola Gruevski of the VMRO-DPMNE has relied on the Slavic sentiment to support him …

Venezuela, too much oil to be independent

Venezuela is immensely rich, it holds the largest oil reserves on the planet. The economy of the country is, however, in full bankruptcy. The oil wealth has made the country live well, in the days of President Chavez. The Bolivarian regime then bought food, medicines and social peace. But oil today brings back much less money. Inflation, slowing growth, shortages, are creating enormous tensions within the population. These difficulties are, perhaps, not the sole fact of the government incompetence. Parasitism of the Cuban government and Washington, CIA is not alien to the death of Hugo Chavez in March 2013, could as well be responsible for the difficulties of the country.

Moises Naim, a correspondent for the El Pais newspaper, said the Cuban regime took advantage of Hugo Chavez's unconditional admiration for the revolutionary Fidel Castro to infiltrate all the country's decision-making offices. Cuban "advisers" would be in control throughout the administration and th…

A new Islamic State is born in Arabia

Middle East is a complex political world, made up of intrigues and betrayals. Saudi leaders are well aware. They have been able to foil all attempts to destabilize their wealthy monarchy by their enemies as well as their "friends". Riyad, however, has been trapped in Yemen. It will be exciting to see if they will survive this final blow: a new Islamic State is born in the Arabian Peninsula.

The united Republic of Yemen, supporting Iraq during the first Gulf War, in 1990, made a bad choice. United States and Saudi Arabia have since sought a revenge. Perhaps Washington and Riyadh are not strangers to the many troubles that broke out in this country, formerly called "Happy Arabia." Since the 2000s, revolts have erupted everywhere against the government of former president Ali Abdullah Saleh as much as the government of the current president, Marshal Abd Rabbo Mansour Hadi, backed by the Saudis. The Shiites Houthis hold Aden, and much of the western part of the countr…

The Peace of Europe depends on Belarus

It is a small country that is easily forgotten, in the shadow of Russia. Belarus is nostalgic of the Soviet Union era, caricatural in certain aspects. Yet a thorough knowledge of its history helps to appreciate the skill with which its leaders strive to preserve their sovereignty and the peace of Europe.


There are many jokes about Belarus, the "last Soviet theme park", as a country frozen at the time of Brezhnev. It is true that the country is a founding member of the Eurasian Economic Union (UEEA), which gathers the faithful to Moscow; Its ruler is openly nostalgic of the USSR, rules the country in a stalinian moustache style and the economy is still controlled by the state.
It is also true that Belarus, the flagship of post-war Soviet heavy industry,has been relatively untouched by the "capitalist" chaos that shook Russia at the fall of the USSR. In the referendum of March 1991, more than 80% of Belarusians wanted to stay in Soviet Union. Another referendum, in 1…