Afghanistan: Talibans are back
Since 2014, Talibans have made an unprecedented military offensive to regain control of a country that is now undermined by crime, corruption and abuse of power. It is easy to predict that they will soon be again masters of the country.
Unfortunately, as usual, international intervention leaves a country worse off than before it arrived. The clumsiness and counterproductive measures followed: instead of tackling drug trafficking, the United States, at the time of President George W. Bush, had tried to eradicate poppy cultivation. The Taliban immediately presented themselves as the protectors of this essential means of subsistence for peasants. Under Barack Obama, anti-corruption brigades had been set up, the Shafafiyat (Transparency), led by General McMaster. But ultimately the obstruction of President Hamid Karzai had rendered them ineffective. Since then, there has simply been no will to intervene.
The creation of the national unity government, after the fraudulent presidential elections of 2014, did not stop the massive corruption and ethnic patronage that already permeated the Afghan security forces. Ethnic divisions and sponsorship networks hamper any effort to combat corruption. Under pressure from the international community, frustrated by the limited progress in the fight against corruption, the government created an Anti-Corruption Justice Center (ACJC). Its action was limited to the temporary improvement of tax collection. But the situation is rotten. Now that the international troops have left, since 2014, the worst remains to come. The Taliban have already taken the city of Kunduz in October 2015. This is just the beginning.
Source: Vanda Felbab-Brown, Center for 21st Century Security and Intelligence